Friday, June 10, 2016

Videocon d2h - Healthy Momentum

Recent results suggest healthy business momentum for the top DTH-based satellite operators. VDTH mgmt
highlights that ~70% of the digitalized consumers in phase 3 markets thus far have opted for a DTH service (as per government releases).

Dish, VDTH and Airtel added 0.51, 0.59 and 0.62m net adds in 4Q, which has been the key driver of revenue growth. From an incremental sub adds perspective, the major players appear to be neck and
neck; taking Dish's higher sub base and stable churn, we estimate its gross addition is 0.8m / 2.7m in 4Q / FY16, same or slightly higher than peers

VDTH mgmt appeared more guarded with its guidance for FY17E – perhaps a function of phase 3 + 4 digitalization timing and also in light of the pending regulatory tariff order. That said, mgmt expects the
company to turn PAT and FCF positive in FY17E and aims to add at least 2.5m gross adds (upside subject to pace of digitalization). Per mgmt, the regulator is making attempts to bring transparency to the pay TV market (incl. cable & carriage fee norms), which works well for the entire industry – besides also working on
service quality, inter-connect offers, et al. Zee mgmt also kept its domestic subscription revenue guidance in mid-teens for FY17E given same uncertainties

No comments: